This is something that bothers me. Every time something like this come up, there is a non-trivial crowd of people saying things like “no shit. In the right circle, everyone known for a long time”. Often they come with specific anecdotes that should raise all the red flags.

Well, I had no idea. Not a clue. And it’s not like I was not interested. I was fallowing his work, social media… live in general. He was a very close friend with a woman who was vocal about being an abuse victim. Nobody told her?

Even in the power of hindsight, when I was looking for articles or comments from the past, there was not a lot. I found like one, “there is nothing he wouldn’t do to lure a goth girl” (paraphrased), that got zero traction.

If there were signs, why did we let that happen? What can I do, not to fall for something like this again?

Predator.

Neil Gaiman. He poisoned so much…

I watched it yesterday for the 2nd time (first time with my son). We laugh, we cried, we danced, we were shouting out loud and watched final battle standing on our feet. I unironically think it’s an excellent sport movie.

Ser (pronounced like in “Yes, sir!”)

Oh Man, the number of times I deleted something because of the notification on top that shift everything down… Drives me mad.

If that’s how it works for you, sure. But that’s not the point. I don’t claim that people learn one way or another, or Wich part is easy. The point is that a “steep learning curve” means something specific in psychology, and people use it to describe something different.

Sure. I could’ve been more precise, when people say or imply a “steep learning curve”.

There is a “learning curve” to it - used as "it will be easier after a while. It’s the other way around. Learning curve is when you learn like crazy at first, but than after you knock out all the easy wins your progres slows dramaticaly.

Are you a manager?

Is*. Season 3 is comming.

People Watching

If I’m getting what you’re asking, “Jaws” is a famous example. Obsticle was: shark animatronic looks really bad. A solutiin: let’s not show it almost at all… which likely made a movie better.

With a gentle half-smile: Honestly? It was a blast.

Both of those seems very rational in term of maximazing value.

A similar case was with scans from “mobile scanners”. Since those are used on patients to sick to be transported, their cases were disproportionaly “malicious”. Model was effectively optimozed to detected if scaner was stationary or mobile.

You are describing Google Ads right now. Algorithms are better and better in reaching to poeple that are already on the purchase patch. It’s like giving a restaurant flayers to people that are waiting for a weiter to show them a table.

Aren’t our ads amazing? Look, almost everyone who saw them made the purchase!

Analytics that ignores Goodharts law ruin everything. Movies, HR, Marketing (not much to ruin left, but you get the point), performancet review, recommendations…

I don’t belive it did.

It doesn’t. Mostly becouse it doesn’t have to. Your online behavior is easier accessible and a better predictor… (pretty bad over-all, but still better. Digital Marketing Bubble is bursting!)

<Tom holding a door open meme >